Forecasting of Electricity Consumption by Household Consumers Using Fuzzy Logic Based on the Development Plan of the Power System of the Republic of Tajikistan

Seasonal fluctuations in electricity consumption, and uneven loading of supply lines reduce not only the energy efficiency networks, but also contribute to a decrease service life elements power systems. To solve problem forecasting it is proposed use theory fuzzy sets assess effective development system Republic Tajikistan. According statistical data consumption for previous period, logic model with membership functions proposed, which makes possible evaluate consumer satisfaction using criteria unsatisfactory, satisfactory, conditionally as well mode compliance high, medium, low, allowing evaluation plan obtain set more accurate on calculations were made winter period year. Based calculation logic, quantitative component corresponding consumer, regime nine cities Tajikistan form diagrams seasonal consumption. The obtained improve accuracy estimating thereby equalizing balance generation.